Green Diesel Market

Green Diesel Market Sizes by Feedstock (Vegetable Oils, Animal Fats and Others), By Production Process (Gasification, Pyrolysis and Others), By Application (Fuel, Power Generation and Others), Regions, Global Industry Analysis, Share, Growth, Trends, and Forecast 2024 to 2033

Base Year: 2023 Historical Data: 2020-22
  • Report ID: TBI-14133
  • Published Date: Feb, 2024
  • Pages: 236
  • Category: Energy & Power
  • Format: PDF
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The global green diesel market was valued at USD 35.39 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 11.3% from 2024 to 2033. Generally known as biodiesel, green diesel is a renewable and eco-friendly alternative fuel. It's manufactured through transesterification production process of vegetable oils, animal fats and other feedstocks. Biodiesel shares similar properties with petroleum diesel but boasts clear advantages, like being more economical and non-toxic to the environment. Unlike its counterpart, it doesn't emit sulfur or harmful chemicals when used, making it highly sought after in the automotive industry, including marine travel railway systems for agriculture mining purposes, due to the many benefits and advantages in the current situation.

Market Introduction:

Derived from organic sources like vegetable oils, animal fats, and greases, green diesel is a sustainable transportation fuel of superior quality. It stands apart from conventional biodiesel produced using methanol or ethanol through transesterification. It employs an advanced hydro processing technique that eliminates oxygen and other contaminants in the feedstock through hydrotreating and hydrogenation reactions. As a result of this process, green diesel bears similarities to petroleum-based diesel with heightened energy density, a superior cetane number, and cold flow characteristics.

Green diesel is utilized in different domains as a substitute for traditional fossil-fuel-based diesel. It serves efficiently in transportation, industrial and residential areas. Various vehicles like passenger cars, trucks, buses, ships and even airplanes receive power from green oil, transforming the way towards eco-friendly mobility without interruptions. Due to its compatibility with existing engines that require conventional fuel components and infrastructure replacement, costs are eliminated, allowing swift adoption of this alternative fuel source and rapidly penetrating several markets.

Green Diesel Market Size

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Recent Development
  • In February 2023: Eni Sustainable Mobility and PBF Energy Inc. today signed formal agreements to collaborate in a 50/50 joint venture called St. Bernard Renewables LLC (SBR) for the development of a biorefinery that is presently being built close to PBF's Chalmette Refinery in Louisiana (US). The St. Bernard Renewables biorefinery is expected to process approximately 1.1 million tons of raw materials annually beginning in the first half of 2023. Its primary output will be HVO diesel, also known as "green diesel" or "renewable diesel" in North America, with a 306-million-gallon annual production capacity.

Market Dynamics:

Drivers

Growing Emphasis on Sustainability - The rising consciousness of ecological concerns such as climate change, depletion of resources and air pollution has heightened the need for sustainable options to traditional fossil fuels. Renewable biomass feedstocks provide a source material for green diesel that is eco-friendlier than petroleum diesel with lowered pollutants and carbon emissions levels. Consequently, there's an escalating emphasis on sustainability in energy preference among businesses, governments, and consumers alike; hence, more people are now embracing renewable fuel alternatives like green diesel. The demand for green diesel is largely fueled by corporate commitment to sustainability and reducing carbon emissions. Companies strive to improve their environmental impact and establish themselves as responsible players in the market, driving demand for renewable fuels like green diesel. Consumer preferences likewise play a role, prompting business enterprises across industries to adopt sustainable practices throughout their operations and supply chains. Large enterprises are making significant investments, boosting market growth and development.

Restraints:

Economic Viability and Cost Considerations – Factors such as feedstock expenses, process effectiveness, market rates, and regulatory stimulants influence green diesel production's economic sustainability and competitiveness. Despite notable advancements in production technologies and scalability efficiencies, the costs associated with producing green diesel remain more expensive than those of traditional petroleum-based diesel within many contexts. Therefore, it is crucial to decrease this cost discrepancy while striving toward attaining price parity with fossil-fueled diesel - a requisite for boosting both the commercial feasibility & competitive edge of our renewable energy future. Additionally, variations in crude oil prices, market dynamics, and currency exchange rates may impact the relative competitiveness and prompt changes to investment decisions and project economics. Moreover, price fluctuations within feedstock markets coupled with unknowns surrounding policy support alongside demand uncertainties amplify the risks associated with the global green diesel market.  

Opportunities:

Market Expansion and Investment Opportunities - Various investors/stakeholders, including energy companies, investors, and technology providers, have invested considerably in the rapidly expanding global market for green diesel. An increasing demand for renewable fuels, favorable policy frameworks and incentives have created profitable investment opportunities within this sector. To meet rising demands and capitalize on these lucrative prospects, we are seeing large-scale production facilities emerging worldwide and biofuel refineries alongside feedstock cultivation projects being developed at a significant rate. In addition, renewable fuel markets and trading platforms have emerged to enhance the seamless exchange of eco-friendly diesel and other biofuels. These avenues enable market participants to optimize their supply chains and manage risks effortlessly while accessing alternative revenue streams. Moreover, financial instruments such as carbon credits RINs plus RECs offer opportunities for monetizing environmental attributes that incentivize the production of sustainable fuels. The green diesel market is anticipated to attract more investments, leading to further innovation and driving global competitiveness through sustained growth trends. So far, it has portrayed the sustainable fuel endeavored by emerging technologies fostering this transitioning course towards using energy-efficient solutions at a cost-effective rate with less adverse impact on nature.   

Regional segmentation analysis:

The regions analyzed for the market include North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. North America region emerged as the most prominent global green diesel market, with a 39.0% market revenue share in 2023. The global green diesel market is led by North America, which owes its success to a trifecta of trailblazing advancements, regulatory requirements and financial inducements. Notably, in the U.S., there has been an exceptional surge in producing and using green diesel due to governmental initiatives like Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) and low-carbon fuel standards (LCFS), enforced at state, local or national levels. By mandating the blending of renewable fuels with traditional transportation fuel supplies - such as incorporating green diesel - these policies have ushered profitable markets for eco-friendly producers. In addition, the progression of technology has made it possible to create environmentally friendly diesel fuels from various sources, such as soybean oil, animal fats, and cooking oils, through hydrotreating and hydrocracking processes. The regional market players also engage in various market strategies such as product innovation, product differentiation, mergers, acquisitions, partnerships, and strategic alliances to maintain their competitive edge.

North America Region Green Diesel Market Share in 2023 - 39.0%

 

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  • In January 2023: Production was commissioned and commenced by Valero Energy Corporation from Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC (DGD). In the fourth quarter of 2022, the facility generated 20 million gal/year of renewable naphtha plant and 470 million gal/year of renewable diesel at the operator's 395,000-b/d refinery in Port Arthur, Texas.
Feedstock Segment Analysis

The feedstock segment includes vegetable oils, animal fats and others. The vegetable oils segment dominated, with a market share of around 53% in 2023. A considerable amount of the raw materials utilized in producing eco-friendly diesel comes from vegetable oils. These are extracted from oilseed crops like soybean, rapeseed, palm and sunflower with high triglyceride levels, ideal for creating renewable fuel through hydrotreating or hydrocracking processes. Soybean and palm oil rank highly as preferred feedstocks due to their ample supply, easy availability and favorable fatty acid makeup within the category of vegetable oils. Soybean oil is the key ingredient for green diesel production in North America and Europe, supported by strong agricultural infrastructure and soybean farming.

Production Process Segment Analysis

The production process segment includes gasification, pyrolysis and others. The pyrolysis segment dominated, with a market share of around 60% in 2023. Pyrolysis converts various biomass feedstocks into bio-oil. Bio-oil is an intermediate liquid that can be transformed into green diesel via hydrotreating and hydrocracking techniques utilizing thermal decomposition. The benefits of utilizing pyrolysis include rapid kinetics during fast processing times, high oil yields with versatile capabilities for operating on different types of biomasses such as agricultural residues, energy crops or lignocellulosic materials; furthermore, its low oxygen content combines with beneficial chemical properties which make it attractive among renewable fuel producers who seek alternatives suited for their specific needs. Pyrolysis technologies have emerged as a cost-effective and eco-friendly alternative to traditional petroleum refining processes in the global green diesel market.

Application Segment Analysis

The application segment is bifurcated into fuel, power generation and others. The fuel segment dominated, with a market share of around 58% in 2023. The transportation industry's need for eco-friendly options to traditional diesel fuel has occupied the prime portion of the worldwide green diesel market by fuel applications. With its potential to work as a petroleum diesel substitute, green diesel offers enhanced environmental features and reduced emissions and can seamlessly integrate into existing infrastructure and engines. Sustainable mobility is effectively achieved through this technology that powers several vehicles, including passenger cars, trucks, buses, and ships alongside aircraft while reducing harmful greenhouse gas emissions from these modes of transport.

Some of the Key Market Players:
  • TotalEnergies
  • Neste Corporation (Finland)
  • Chevron Corporation
  • Valero Energy Corporation.
  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation
  • Eni S.p.A.
  • Cargill Incorporated
  • Phillips 66 Company
  • Honeywell International Inc.
  • Exxon Mobil Corporation

Report Description:

Attribute Description
Market Size Revenue (USD Billion)
Market size value in 2023 USD 35.39 Billion
Market size value in 2033 USD 103.25 Billion
CAGR (2024 to 2033) 11.3%
Historical data 2020-2022
Base Year 2023
Forecast 2024-2033
Region The regions analyzed for the market are Asia Pacific, Europe, South America, North America, and Middle East & Africa. Furthermore, the regions are further analyzed at the country level.
Segments Feedstock, Application, Production Process

Frequesntly Asked Questions

As per The Brainy Insights, the size of the green diesel market was valued at 35.39 billion in 2023 to USD 103.25 billion by 2033.

The global green diesel market is growing at a CAGR of 11.3% during the forecast period 2024-2033.

North America region became the largest market for green diesel.

The rising demand for green diesel as sustainable fuel alternative is driving the market's growth.

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This study forecasts revenue at global, regional, and country levels from 2020 to 2033. The Brainy Insights has segmented the global green diesel market based on below-mentioned segments:

Global Green Diesel Market by Feedstock:

  • Vegetable Oils
  • Animal Fats
  • Others

Global Green Diesel Market by Production Process:

  • Gasification
  • Pyrolysis
  • Others

Global Green Diesel Market by Application:

  • Fuel
  • Power Generation
  • Others

Global Green Diesel Market by Region:

  • North America
    • U.S.
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • France
    • U.K.
    • Italy
    • Spain
  • Asia-Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
  • South America
    • Brazil
  • Middle East and Africa  
    • UAE
    • South Africa

Methodology

Research has its special purpose to undertake marketing efficiently. In this competitive scenario, businesses need information across all industry verticals; the information about customer wants, market demand, competition, industry trends, distribution channels etc. This information needs to be updated regularly because businesses operate in a dynamic environment. Our organization, The Brainy Insights incorporates scientific and systematic research procedures in order to get proper market insights and industry analysis for overall business success. The analysis consists of studying the market from a miniscule level wherein we implement statistical tools which helps us in examining the data with accuracy and precision. 

Our research reports feature both; quantitative and qualitative aspects for any market. Qualitative information for any market research process are fundamental because they reveal the customer needs and wants, usage and consumption for any product/service related to a specific industry. This in turn aids the marketers/investors in knowing certain perceptions of the customers. Qualitative research can enlighten about the different product concepts and designs along with unique service offering that in turn, helps define marketing problems and generate opportunities. On the other hand, quantitative research engages with the data collection process through interviews, e-mail interactions, surveys and pilot studies. Quantitative aspects for the market research are useful to validate the hypotheses generated during qualitative research method, explore empirical patterns in the data with the help of statistical tools, and finally make the market estimations.

The Brainy Insights offers comprehensive research and analysis, based on a wide assortment of factual insights gained through interviews with CXOs and global experts and secondary data from reliable sources. Our analysts and industry specialist assume vital roles in building up statistical tools and analysis models, which are used to analyse the data and arrive at accurate insights with exceedingly informative research discoveries. The data provided by our organization have proven precious to a diverse range of companies, facilitating them to address issues such as determining which products/services are the most appealing, whether or not customers use the product in the manner anticipated, the purchasing intentions of the market and many others.

Our research methodology encompasses an idyllic combination of primary and secondary initiatives. Key phases involved in this process are listed below:

MARKET RESEARCH PROCESS

Data Procurement:

The phase involves the gathering and collecting of market data and its related information with the help of different sources & research procedures.

The data procurement stage involves in data gathering and collecting through various data sources.

This stage involves in extensive research. These data sources includes:

Purchased Database: Purchased databases play a crucial role in estimating the market sizes irrespective of the domain. Our purchased database includes:

  • The organizational databases such as D&B Hoovers, and Bloomberg that helps us to identify the competitive scenario of the key market players/organizations along with the financial information.
  • Industry/Market databases such as Statista, and Factiva provides market/industry insights and deduce certain formulations. 
  • We also have contractual agreements with various reputed data providers and third party vendors who provide information which are not limited to:
    • Import & Export Data
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    • Usage rates of a particular product/service on certain demographics mainly focusing on the unmet prerequisites

Primary Research: The Brainy Insights interacts with leading companies and experts of the concerned domain to develop the analyst team’s market understanding and expertise. It improves and substantiates every single data presented in the market reports. Primary research mainly involves in telephonic interviews, E-mail interactions and face-to-face interviews with the raw material providers, manufacturers/producers, distributors, & independent consultants. The interviews that we conduct provides valuable data on market size and industry growth trends prevailing in the market. Our organization also conducts surveys with the various industry experts in order to gain overall insights of the industry/market. For instance, in healthcare industry we conduct surveys with the pharmacists, doctors, surgeons and nurses in order to gain insights and key information of a medical product/device/equipment which the customers are going to usage. Surveys are conducted in the form of questionnaire designed by our own analyst team. Surveys plays an important role in primary research because surveys helps us to identify the key target audiences of the market. Additionally, surveys helps to identify the key target audience engaged with the market. Our survey team conducts the survey by targeting the key audience, thus gaining insights from them. Based on the perspectives of the customers, this information is utilized to formulate market strategies. Moreover, market surveys helps us to understand the current competitive situation of the industry. To be precise, our survey process typically involve with the 360 analysis of the market. This analytical process begins by identifying the prospective customers for a product or service related to the market/industry to obtain data on how a product/service could fit into customers’ lives.

Secondary Research: The secondary data sources includes information published by the on-profit organizations such as World bank, WHO, company fillings, investor presentations, annual reports, national government documents, statistical databases, blogs, articles, white papers and others. From the annual report, we analyse a company’s revenue to understand the key segment and market share of that organization in a particular region. We analyse the company websites and adopt the product mapping technique which is important for deriving the segment revenue. In the product mapping method, we select and categorize the products offered by the companies catering to domain specific market, deduce the product revenue for each of the companies so as to get overall estimation of the market size. We also source data and analyses trends based on information received from supply side and demand side intermediaries in the value chain. The supply side denotes the data gathered from supplier, distributor, wholesaler and the demand side illustrates the data gathered from the end customers for respective market domain.

The supply side for a domain specific market is analysed by:

  • Estimating and projecting penetration rates through analysing product attributes, availability of internal and external substitutes, followed by pricing analysis of the product.
  • Experiential assessment of year-on-year sales of the product by conducting interviews.

The demand side for the market is estimated through:

  • Evaluating the penetration level and usage rates of the product.
  • Referring to the historical data to determine the growth rate and evaluate the industry trends

In-house Library: Apart from these third-party sources, we have our in-house library of qualitative and quantitative information. Our in-house database includes market data for various industry and domains. These data are updated on regular basis as per the changing market scenario. Our library includes, historic databases, internal audit reports and archives.

Sometimes there are instances where there is no metadata or raw data available for any domain specific market. For those cases, we use our expertise to forecast and estimate the market size in order to generate comprehensive data sets. Our analyst team adopt a robust research technique in order to produce the estimates:

  • Applying demographic along with psychographic segmentation for market evaluation
  • Determining the Micro and Macro-economic indicators for each region 
  • Examining the industry indicators prevailing in the market. 

Data Synthesis: This stage involves the analysis & mapping of all the information obtained from the previous step. It also involves in scrutinizing the data for any discrepancy observed while data gathering related to the market. The data is collected with consideration to the heterogeneity of sources. Robust scientific techniques are in place for synthesizing disparate data sets and provide the essential contextual information that can orient market strategies. The Brainy Insights has extensive experience in data synthesis where the data passes through various stages:

  • Data Screening: Data screening is the process of scrutinising data/information collected from primary research for errors and amending those collected data before data integration method. The screening involves in examining raw data, identifying errors and dealing with missing data. The purpose of the data screening is to ensure data is correctly entered or not. The Brainy Insights employs objective and systematic data screening grades involving repeated cycles of quality checks, screening and suspect analysis.
  • Data Integration: Integrating multiple data streams is necessary to produce research studies that provide in-depth picture to the clients. These data streams come from multiple research studies and our in house database. After screening of the data, our analysts conduct creative integration of data sets, optimizing connections between integrated surveys and syndicated data sources. There are mainly 2 research approaches that we follow in order to integrate our data; top down approach and bottom up approach.

Market Deduction & Formulation: The final stage comprises of assigning data points at appropriate market spaces so as to deduce feasible conclusions. Analyst perspective & subject matter expert based holistic form of market sizing coupled with industry analysis also plays a crucial role in this stage.

This stage involves in finalization of the market size and numbers that we have collected from data integration step. With data interpolation, it is made sure that there is no gap in the market data. Successful trend analysis is done by our analysts using extrapolation techniques, which provide the best possible forecasts for the market.

Data Validation & Market Feedback: Validation is the most important step in the process. Validation & re-validation via an intricately designed process helps us finalize data-points to be used for final calculations.

The Brainy Insights interacts with leading companies and experts of the concerned domain to develop the analyst team’s market understanding and expertise. It improves and substantiates every single data presented in the market reports. The data validation interview and discussion panels are typically composed of the most experienced industry members. The participants include, however, are not limited to:

  • CXOs and VPs of leading companies’ specific to sector
  • Purchasing managers, technical personnel, end-users
  • Key opinion leaders such as investment bankers, and industry consultants

Moreover, we always validate our data and findings through primary respondents from all the major regions we are working on.

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