E-fuel Market

E-fuel Market Size By Product (E-Gasoline, Hydrogen, E-Methane, E-Diesel, Ethanol, E-Kerosene, E-Methanol, and Others), By State (Gas and Liquid), and By Technology (Reverse-Water-Gas-Shift (RWGS), Fischer-Tropsch, and Hydrogen Technology (Electrolysis)), Regions, Global Industry Analysis, Share, Growth, Trends, and Forecast 2024 to 2033

Base Year: 2023 Historical Data: 2020-22
  • Report ID: TBI-14044
  • Published Date: Jan, 2024
  • Pages: 239
  • Category: Energy & Power
  • Format: PDF
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The global E-fuel market was valued at USD 6.9 billion in 2023, growing at a CAGR of 31.2% from 2024 to 2033. The market is expected to reach USD 104.2 billion by 2033. The increasing demand for sustainable and clean e-fuels to reduce the country's dependence on fossil fuels, which are significant causes of air pollution and climate change, is expected to drive the market's growth.

Market Introduction:

Electrofuels, called e-fuels, are new carbon-neutral fuels produced by storing electrical energy from renewable sources and utilized as fuel substitutes. Hydrogen extraction is necessary to produce e-fuel. An electrolysis cycle is used to achieve this, separating water (seawater from desalination plants) into its hydrogen and oxygen components. Additionally, the hydrogen is mixed with CO2 that has been taken from the atmosphere and transformed into a fluid energy carrier (e-fuel) via Fischer-Tropsch synthesis. Since electricity is used in producing e-fuels, the strategy is called the power-to-fluid cycle. Fluid stores electricity, making it convenient to carry and store. Today, almost 90% of the energy required by the world's transport sector is met by the ignition of petroleum derivatives. Although e-fuel systems can effectively reduce carbon emissions in urban and medium-distance transportation, petroleum fuel is still used in most large vehicles, including trucks, ships, and aeroplanes.

E-fuel Market Size

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Recent Development

In September 2023, Stellantis and Saudi Arabian Oil Co. worked to verify that e-fuels are compatible with European engine facilities. The companies have been collaborating in their search for lower-carbon energy solutions by employing surrogate E-fuels for testing by current fuel requirements. Aramco will use this partnership to use its e-fuel output in automobiles.

In March 2023, Uniper teams up with Liquid Wind, a Swedish company creating hydrogen-based electro-fuel to facilitate carbon-neutral shipping. Uniper, which is currently building its first eMethanol production facility in rnsköldsvik, on Sweden's northeast coast, will be the company's second-largest investor.

In May 2023, Leading providers of energy technologies worldwide, Siemens Energy and Liquid Wind, collaborated to create eFuel, which lowers transportation emissions. Siemens Energy offers technology, experience, and financial investment to develop eMethanol facilities.

In April 2022, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI) and Infinium, a California-based pioneer in electro fuels, have a Memorandum of Understanding. The main goal of this agreement, which is an expansion of MHI's earlier 2021 investment in Infinium, is to look into bringing Infinium's unique electrofuel technology to the Japanese market.

Market Dynamics:

Drivers

Growing need for eco-friendly fuel- When e-fuels are combined with the current fleet of vehicles to support climate protection and expedite the decarbonization of transportation, tonnes of CO2 emissions could be saved while maintaining the current infrastructure. E-fuels can be blended easily with conventional counterparts like petrol, diesel, or marine fuel, and they may eventually completely replace them. This is in line with the growing trend of electro-mobility. This provides growth for the E-fuel market.

Restraints:

Requirement of high initial investment- One of the commercial restraints for e-fuels is the significant initial capital investment required. Synthetic fuels from carbon dioxide collected and renewable energy sources are known as e-fuels. A substantial investment in infrastructure and capital equipment is needed to manufacture e-fuels. In addition to acting as a barrier to entry for new businesses, the large initial capital expenditure requirement can also provide challenges for established enterprises looking to grow their production capacity. This may reduce the availability of e-fuels and raise costs.

Opportunities:

Conversion of CO2 to valuable raw material- Besides reducing carbon dioxide emissions, e-fuels can help turn CO2 into a useful raw material. By absorbing CO2 from the environment or industrial sources and combining it with hydrogen, e-fuel-producing facilities can transform the climate killer into a climate-neutral fuel. However, carbon dioxide from industrial sites like steel, glass, and cement can be caught, processed, or recovered and reused by e-fuel plants, lowering emissions instead of being released into the atmosphere. This benefits the e-fuel sector because it may help the environment and the global economy.

Regional segmentation analysis:

The regions analyzed for the market include North America, Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. Europe emerged as the largest global E-fuel market, with a 37.8% market revenue share in 2023.

The European e-fuels business has grown mostly due to government incentives and a broadening variety of significant expenditures in research and development. Leading nations implementing favourable policies and strong regulatory frameworks to facilitate the production and broad use of e-fuels include Germany, Denmark, Sweden, and the Netherlands. There are provisions for renewable energy fee-in-tariffs in Germany's Renewable Energy Act (EEG), which has undergone numerous revisions. To power e-fuel synthesis plants, it is essential to generate electricity from renewable sources, which it supports.

Europe Region E-fuel Market Share in 2023 - 37.8%

 

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Product Segment Analysis

The product segment is divided into E-gasoline, hydrogen, E-methane, E-diesel, ethanol, E-kerosene, E-methanol, and others. The ethanol segment dominated the market, with a market share of around 23% in 2023. Several global government initiatives and regulations have been put in place to increase the production of ethanol. For example, the Renewable Fuel Standard Program's fuel blending rules in the United States encourage the country's use and production of renewable ethanol.

State Segment Analysis

The state segment is divided into gas and liquid. The liquid segment dominated the market, with a market share of around 57% in 2023. The segment's growth can be attributed to the widespread use of liquid e-fuels, which don't require significant modifications to current configurations, to power automobiles, generators, and industrial processes.

Technology Segment Analysis

The technology segment is divided into reverse-water-gas-shift (RWGS), fischer-tropsch, and hydrogen technology (electrolysis). The hydrogen technology (electrolysis) segment dominated the market, with a market share of around 45% in 2023. This technology, which uses nuclear and renewable energy sources to produce hydrogen without emitting carbon dioxide, is expanding rapidly. Alkaline electrolyzers and polymer electrolyte membranes (PEM) are two examples of hydrogen electrolysis technology used to produce sustainable fuels.

Some of the Key Market Players:
  • Ballard Power Systems, Inc.
  • Clean Fuels Alliance America
  • E-Fuel Corporation
  • Hexagon Agility
  • Norsk e-Fuel AS
  • Archer Daniels Midland Co.
  • Ceres Power Holding Plc
  • Climeworks AG
  • eFuel Pacific Limited
  • Neste

Report Description:

Attribute Description
Market Size Revenue (USD Billion)
Market size value in 2023 USD 6.9 Billion
Market size value in 2033 USD 104.2 Billion
CAGR (2024 to 2033) 31.2%
Historical data 2020-2022
Base Year 2023
Forecast 2024-2033
Region The regions analyzed for the market are Asia Pacific, Europe, South America, North America, and Middle East & Africa. Furthermore, the regions are further analyzed at the country level.
Segments Product, State, Technology

Frequesntly Asked Questions

As per Brainy Insights, the size of the e-fuel market was valued at USD 6.9 billion in 2023 and expected to reach USD 104.2 billion by 2033.

The global E-fuel market is growing at a CAGR of 31.2% during the forecast period 2024-2033.

Europe emerged as the largest E-fuel market.

Key players in the E-fuel market are Ballard Power Systems, Inc., Clean Fuels Alliance America, E-Fuel Corporation, Hexagon Agility, Norsk e-Fuel AS, Archer Daniels Midland Co., Ceres Power Holding Plc, Climeworks AG, eFuel Pacific Limited, and Neste.

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This study forecasts global, regional, and country revenue from 2020 to 2033. The Brainy Insights has segmented the global E-fuel market based on the below-mentioned segments:

Global E-fuel Market By Product:

  • E-Gasoline
  • Hydrogen
  • E-Methane
  • E-Diesel
  • Ethanol
  • E-Kerosene
  • E-Methanol
  • Others

Global E-fuel Market By State:

  • Gas
  • Liquid

Global E-fuel Market By Technology:

  • Reverse-Water-Gas-Shift (RWGS)
  • Fischer-Tropsch
  • Hydrogen Technology (Electrolysis)

Global E-fuel Market By Region:                                                    

  • North America
    • U.S.
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • France
    • U.K.
    • Italy
    • Spain
  • Asia-Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
  • South America
    • Brazil
  • Middle East and Africa  
    • UAE
    • South Africa

Methodology

Research has its special purpose to undertake marketing efficiently. In this competitive scenario, businesses need information across all industry verticals; the information about customer wants, market demand, competition, industry trends, distribution channels etc. This information needs to be updated regularly because businesses operate in a dynamic environment. Our organization, The Brainy Insights incorporates scientific and systematic research procedures in order to get proper market insights and industry analysis for overall business success. The analysis consists of studying the market from a miniscule level wherein we implement statistical tools which helps us in examining the data with accuracy and precision. 

Our research reports feature both; quantitative and qualitative aspects for any market. Qualitative information for any market research process are fundamental because they reveal the customer needs and wants, usage and consumption for any product/service related to a specific industry. This in turn aids the marketers/investors in knowing certain perceptions of the customers. Qualitative research can enlighten about the different product concepts and designs along with unique service offering that in turn, helps define marketing problems and generate opportunities. On the other hand, quantitative research engages with the data collection process through interviews, e-mail interactions, surveys and pilot studies. Quantitative aspects for the market research are useful to validate the hypotheses generated during qualitative research method, explore empirical patterns in the data with the help of statistical tools, and finally make the market estimations.

The Brainy Insights offers comprehensive research and analysis, based on a wide assortment of factual insights gained through interviews with CXOs and global experts and secondary data from reliable sources. Our analysts and industry specialist assume vital roles in building up statistical tools and analysis models, which are used to analyse the data and arrive at accurate insights with exceedingly informative research discoveries. The data provided by our organization have proven precious to a diverse range of companies, facilitating them to address issues such as determining which products/services are the most appealing, whether or not customers use the product in the manner anticipated, the purchasing intentions of the market and many others.

Our research methodology encompasses an idyllic combination of primary and secondary initiatives. Key phases involved in this process are listed below:

MARKET RESEARCH PROCESS

Data Procurement:

The phase involves the gathering and collecting of market data and its related information with the help of different sources & research procedures.

The data procurement stage involves in data gathering and collecting through various data sources.

This stage involves in extensive research. These data sources includes:

Purchased Database: Purchased databases play a crucial role in estimating the market sizes irrespective of the domain. Our purchased database includes:

  • The organizational databases such as D&B Hoovers, and Bloomberg that helps us to identify the competitive scenario of the key market players/organizations along with the financial information.
  • Industry/Market databases such as Statista, and Factiva provides market/industry insights and deduce certain formulations. 
  • We also have contractual agreements with various reputed data providers and third party vendors who provide information which are not limited to:
    • Import & Export Data
    • Business Trade Information
    • Usage rates of a particular product/service on certain demographics mainly focusing on the unmet prerequisites

Primary Research: The Brainy Insights interacts with leading companies and experts of the concerned domain to develop the analyst team’s market understanding and expertise. It improves and substantiates every single data presented in the market reports. Primary research mainly involves in telephonic interviews, E-mail interactions and face-to-face interviews with the raw material providers, manufacturers/producers, distributors, & independent consultants. The interviews that we conduct provides valuable data on market size and industry growth trends prevailing in the market. Our organization also conducts surveys with the various industry experts in order to gain overall insights of the industry/market. For instance, in healthcare industry we conduct surveys with the pharmacists, doctors, surgeons and nurses in order to gain insights and key information of a medical product/device/equipment which the customers are going to usage. Surveys are conducted in the form of questionnaire designed by our own analyst team. Surveys plays an important role in primary research because surveys helps us to identify the key target audiences of the market. Additionally, surveys helps to identify the key target audience engaged with the market. Our survey team conducts the survey by targeting the key audience, thus gaining insights from them. Based on the perspectives of the customers, this information is utilized to formulate market strategies. Moreover, market surveys helps us to understand the current competitive situation of the industry. To be precise, our survey process typically involve with the 360 analysis of the market. This analytical process begins by identifying the prospective customers for a product or service related to the market/industry to obtain data on how a product/service could fit into customers’ lives.

Secondary Research: The secondary data sources includes information published by the on-profit organizations such as World bank, WHO, company fillings, investor presentations, annual reports, national government documents, statistical databases, blogs, articles, white papers and others. From the annual report, we analyse a company’s revenue to understand the key segment and market share of that organization in a particular region. We analyse the company websites and adopt the product mapping technique which is important for deriving the segment revenue. In the product mapping method, we select and categorize the products offered by the companies catering to domain specific market, deduce the product revenue for each of the companies so as to get overall estimation of the market size. We also source data and analyses trends based on information received from supply side and demand side intermediaries in the value chain. The supply side denotes the data gathered from supplier, distributor, wholesaler and the demand side illustrates the data gathered from the end customers for respective market domain.

The supply side for a domain specific market is analysed by:

  • Estimating and projecting penetration rates through analysing product attributes, availability of internal and external substitutes, followed by pricing analysis of the product.
  • Experiential assessment of year-on-year sales of the product by conducting interviews.

The demand side for the market is estimated through:

  • Evaluating the penetration level and usage rates of the product.
  • Referring to the historical data to determine the growth rate and evaluate the industry trends

In-house Library: Apart from these third-party sources, we have our in-house library of qualitative and quantitative information. Our in-house database includes market data for various industry and domains. These data are updated on regular basis as per the changing market scenario. Our library includes, historic databases, internal audit reports and archives.

Sometimes there are instances where there is no metadata or raw data available for any domain specific market. For those cases, we use our expertise to forecast and estimate the market size in order to generate comprehensive data sets. Our analyst team adopt a robust research technique in order to produce the estimates:

  • Applying demographic along with psychographic segmentation for market evaluation
  • Determining the Micro and Macro-economic indicators for each region 
  • Examining the industry indicators prevailing in the market. 

Data Synthesis: This stage involves the analysis & mapping of all the information obtained from the previous step. It also involves in scrutinizing the data for any discrepancy observed while data gathering related to the market. The data is collected with consideration to the heterogeneity of sources. Robust scientific techniques are in place for synthesizing disparate data sets and provide the essential contextual information that can orient market strategies. The Brainy Insights has extensive experience in data synthesis where the data passes through various stages:

  • Data Screening: Data screening is the process of scrutinising data/information collected from primary research for errors and amending those collected data before data integration method. The screening involves in examining raw data, identifying errors and dealing with missing data. The purpose of the data screening is to ensure data is correctly entered or not. The Brainy Insights employs objective and systematic data screening grades involving repeated cycles of quality checks, screening and suspect analysis.
  • Data Integration: Integrating multiple data streams is necessary to produce research studies that provide in-depth picture to the clients. These data streams come from multiple research studies and our in house database. After screening of the data, our analysts conduct creative integration of data sets, optimizing connections between integrated surveys and syndicated data sources. There are mainly 2 research approaches that we follow in order to integrate our data; top down approach and bottom up approach.

Market Deduction & Formulation: The final stage comprises of assigning data points at appropriate market spaces so as to deduce feasible conclusions. Analyst perspective & subject matter expert based holistic form of market sizing coupled with industry analysis also plays a crucial role in this stage.

This stage involves in finalization of the market size and numbers that we have collected from data integration step. With data interpolation, it is made sure that there is no gap in the market data. Successful trend analysis is done by our analysts using extrapolation techniques, which provide the best possible forecasts for the market.

Data Validation & Market Feedback: Validation is the most important step in the process. Validation & re-validation via an intricately designed process helps us finalize data-points to be used for final calculations.

The Brainy Insights interacts with leading companies and experts of the concerned domain to develop the analyst team’s market understanding and expertise. It improves and substantiates every single data presented in the market reports. The data validation interview and discussion panels are typically composed of the most experienced industry members. The participants include, however, are not limited to:

  • CXOs and VPs of leading companies’ specific to sector
  • Purchasing managers, technical personnel, end-users
  • Key opinion leaders such as investment bankers, and industry consultants

Moreover, we always validate our data and findings through primary respondents from all the major regions we are working on.

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